Community > Forum > Wirefly X Prize Cup > da Vinci odds

da Vinci odds

Posted by: desertbadger - Thu Aug 05, 2004 7:48 pm
Post new topic Reply to topic
 [ 13 posts ] 
da Vinci odds 

Would you bet money on da Vinci's chances to win the X Prize?
Everything I've got 3%  3%  [ 1 ]
A token amount 35%  35%  [ 14 ]
Not a penny 48%  48%  [ 19 ]
Depends on the odds 15%  15%  [ 6 ]
Total votes : 40

da Vinci odds 
Author Message
Subterranean
User avatar
Joined: Wed Jun 23, 2004 6:09 pm
Posts: 134
Location: Van Nuys
Post da Vinci odds   Posted on: Thu Aug 05, 2004 7:48 pm
Would you bet money on da Vinci's chances to win the X Prize?

_________________
flyovers, fly-betweens and looks


Back to top
Profile
Spaceflight Trainee
Spaceflight Trainee
User avatar
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 10:09 pm
Posts: 37
Location: Belgium (Europe)
Post    Posted on: Thu Aug 05, 2004 8:26 pm
SS1 is ahead, but the slightest problem may delay a second flight.
If SS1 needs the full 2 weeks and Da Vinci goes up twice in less than a week, then we have an "unexpected" winner.

Anyway, there is probably a far higher gain ratio if Da Vinci wins.


Back to top
Profile
Spaceflight Trainee
Spaceflight Trainee
User avatar
Joined: Tue Jul 27, 2004 4:37 pm
Posts: 41
Location: Virginia
Post    Posted on: Fri Aug 06, 2004 4:42 am
Do the bets have to be placed at the Golden Palace Casino? :)

(Man, "The GoldenPalace.com Space Program" is such a sucky name. Thank god Wilbur and Orville weren't strapped for bucks. Can you imagine "Burmashave" painted across the wings of their glider?? Ah well, 21st century.)

- binarysunrise


Back to top
Profile WWW
Moderator
Moderator
User avatar
Joined: Sat Jul 03, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 71
Location: Fort Worth, Texas, USA
Post    Posted on: Fri Aug 06, 2004 2:22 pm
binarysunrise wrote:
Do the bets have to be placed at the Golden Palace Casino? :)

(Man, "The GoldenPalace.com Space Program" is such a sucky name. Thank god Wilbur and Orville weren't strapped for bucks. Can you imagine "Burmashave" painted across the wings of their glider?? Ah well, 21st century.)

- binarysunrise


*heh* no kidding. Should we be looking forward to The 3rd Annual Mitsubishi Orvelle Redenbacker Ansari X Prize Cup?

In all seriousness, I'm cool with that. Art and Science both have often been sybiotically related to patrons. Commerciallization is simply patronization in 21st Century clothing.

As for the race, I agree with H.D.; SS1 still has my bet. I know that things could go wrong, and Rutan may wish to spend several days looking over the data. But in the strictest sense, I don't see any reason why they couldn't do there two flights in the same day: Launch, return, refuel, and launch again. Who knows?

_________________
-- Kevin

"Truth is absolute. Perception is relative"

Visit FanSiteOne


Back to top
Profile WWW
Spaceflight Participant
Spaceflight Participant
User avatar
Joined: Mon Jun 21, 2004 1:42 pm
Posts: 59
Post    Posted on: Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:05 pm
JustMeKevin wrote:
I don't see any reason why they couldn't do there two flights in the same day: Launch, return, refuel, and launch again. Who knows?


Weather, for a start. They aim to launch early in the morning, because the winds are usually lightest then and pick up later in the day. Given the issues with windshear on the last SS1 flight I would think they'd be rather cautious about that.

Plus, replacing a hybrid rocket motor casing is ever so *slightly* more complicated than putting a nozzle in a gas tank :wink:


Back to top
Profile
Moderator
Moderator
User avatar
Joined: Sat Jul 03, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 71
Location: Fort Worth, Texas, USA
Post    Posted on: Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:11 pm
True. Still, I'll bet there's plenty of time for a one day turnarround, let alone a 3 day turnaround. We'll see :)

_________________
-- Kevin

"Truth is absolute. Perception is relative"

Visit FanSiteOne


Back to top
Profile WWW
Spaceflight Trainee
Spaceflight Trainee
avatar
Joined: Fri Jan 09, 2004 1:07 am
Posts: 29
Post    Posted on: Tue Aug 10, 2004 6:53 am
I really don't blame Davinci for taking Golden Palace's offer. For $500k to launch my rocket I'd paint pretty much anything on it. It could have been worse - imagine if it had been a porn site that was the only one to offer up the cash. Still, it is going to look pretty cheesy, as well as being a bargain for GP in collateral media coverage.

I second in that I hope Feeny doesn't get himself killed.


Back to top
Profile
Launch Director
Launch Director
avatar
Joined: Wed Jul 21, 2004 2:41 am
Posts: 17
Post    Posted on: Fri Aug 20, 2004 3:22 am
Carmack will pwn this guy


Back to top
Profile
Space Station Commander
Space Station Commander
User avatar
Joined: Mon Oct 06, 2003 9:22 pm
Posts: 843
Location: New York, NY
Post    Posted on: Fri Aug 20, 2004 4:08 pm
JustMeKevin wrote:
True. Still, I'll bet there's plenty of time for a one day turnarround, let alone a 3 day turnaround. We'll see :)


rutan has basically said his best turnaround time is 4-5 days.

_________________
Cornell 2010- Applied and Engineering Physics

Software Developer

Also, check out my fractals


Back to top
Profile
Spaceflight Participant
Spaceflight Participant
avatar
Joined: Thu Apr 29, 2004 6:40 pm
Posts: 67
Location: Toronto, Ontrio, Canada
Post    Posted on: Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:05 pm
:( :x :x :x

The odds against Da Vinci project have become huge; the attempted
launch this October may be stopped cold; the Canadian government/bureaucracy is interferring...throwing 'new' restrictions and
bureaucratic barriers up against the launch. It looks bad.

:x :x


Back to top
Profile
Spaceflight Participant
Spaceflight Participant
avatar
Joined: Tue Apr 13, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 90
Location: UK
Post    Posted on: Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:27 pm
From what i've seen of Da Vinci, it's a definate, 1:1 ...........against! :lol:

I hope they prove me wrong.


Back to top
Profile
Spaceflight Participant
Spaceflight Participant
avatar
Joined: Thu Apr 29, 2004 6:40 pm
Posts: 67
Location: Toronto, Ontrio, Canada
Post    Posted on: Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:34 pm
I'm sorry, Nova, I don't think the Canadian government is going to allow the launch. It's 99 percent against Da Vinci project now.


Back to top
Profile
Spaceflight Participant
Spaceflight Participant
avatar
Joined: Tue Apr 13, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 90
Location: UK
Post    Posted on: Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:47 pm
I know about that, that's one of the reasons why I said what I did. I still hope I am proved wrong!


Back to top
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 13 posts ] 
 

Who is online 

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests


© 2014 The International Space Fellowship, developed by Gabitasoft Interactive. All Rights Reserved.  Privacy Policy | Terms of Use