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Suborbital, orbital, lunar – and beyond...

Posted by: Ekkehard Augustin - Sun Jul 16, 2006 4:06 pm
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Suborbital, orbital, lunar – and beyond... 
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Post Suborbital, orbital, lunar – and beyond...   Posted on: Sun Jul 16, 2006 4:06 pm
I have said in another thread some time ago (last year) that a base of numbers is needed as fundament for discussing financial barriers or simply the fincial ressources required. There were nearly no numbers available that time which now has been changed. The only exception are (were) the numbers Prof. Collins found

The numbers now available were menat also to check Prof. Collins‘ numbers for 2030 by applying numbers available about vehicles existing, designed or under development now.

The numbers are:

Investment

suborbital $ 20 mio/$ 25 mio
orbital $ 400 mio/$ 10 mio expendable booster
orbital $ 400 mio/$ 10 mio reusable booster
lunar $ 500 mio going to be checked
lunar orbit $ 600 mio going to be checked
lunar landing $ 800 mio – 2100 mio going to be checked



Ticket price/costs

suborbital $ 200,000 down to $ 20,000
orbital $ 4 mio at 5 passengers up to $ 20 mio at 1 passenger expendable booster
orbital $ 25,000 at 5 passengers up to $ 125,000 at 1 passenger reusable booster
lunar $ 15.6 NOW - $ 170,000 2030 going to be checked
lunar orbit $ 26.5 mio NOW - $ 320,000 2030 going to be checked
lunar landing $ 18 mio NOW - $ 240,000 2030 going to be checked



Flight price/costs

suborbital $ 1.4 mio to $ 120,000 price
orbital $ 4 mio at 5 passengers up to $ 20 mio at 1 passenger expendable booster
orbital $ 25,000 at 5 passengers up to $ 125,000 at 1 passenger reusable booster
lunar $ 58 mio NOW - $ 720,000 2030 going to be checked
lunar orbit $ 112 mio NOW - $ 1.4 mio 2030 going to be checked
lunar landing $ 89 mio NOW - $ 1.2 mio 2030 going to be checked


What all does this open up?

There is something SpaceDev has said last year which has been discussed a little bit at this board but can be judged better based on these numbers.

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And what about Mars? I will not look for numbers in this thread – to look for numbers for Mars another thread should be initiated. But it is worth to discuss it here without doung what has been going on and continues to go on in the Accumulations-thread, the CXV-thread and the Lunar Soyuz-thread.



Dipl.-Volkswirt (bdvb) augustin (Political Economist)


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