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What to base the choice of a vehicle on

Posted by: Ekkehard Augustin - Sun Jul 16, 2006 4:04 pm
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What to base the choice of a vehicle on 
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Post What to base the choice of a vehicle on   Posted on: Sun Jul 16, 2006 4:04 pm
There are at least two basic decisions that can be done about a vehicle:

1. The choice by an investor –„ Should I invest into the development of this vehicle or should I not?“ This is the choice an investor is faced to and does no way mean a question he asks to others, to a consultant or so. And it no way has to do with profits etc. only but involves his visions, enthusiasms, business strategies and tactics and ideas. An invetsor simply is someone who invests money into something regardless of his reasons.

2. The choice by someone who wants or needs a vehicle – „Should I buy this vehicle or should I not?“ This is the choice that is a bit more complex than the first one because the customer can choose either a vehicle that already exists or a vehicle that still must be produced or a vehilce that still needs to be developed and/or improved.

There is a specail case of the second choice. If the customers isn’t a service provider like Virgin Galactic be might be someone who is doing or going to do a project for which he needs a vehicle and doesn’t know a service provider running a vehicle like that required. In this special case the vehicle has to fit into the project or the project has to be adjusted to the vehicle. This may be a sufficient reason to restrict the choice to existing vehicles that have been flown already one way or the other. But please note urgently – this is a special case.

The investor has a wider range of alternatives ha can select that the customer looking for a vehicle if this customer is someone like in the special case „project“ – if the customer needs a vehicle that already is developed, has flown or is matured. For this reason the investor is someone who forms the future – without him there is no future which the term „investor“ already says because an investment yields returns or profits in the future only while it means costs only in the presence.

For this reason it is quite reasoable and even required to consider the costs and possible retruns of yet-non-extisting hardware NOW already – in the presence – the CXV for example. And of course this doesn’t mean that those cosniderations mean that the customer regarding his project is called to by that hardware the investor is investing in. The project is to be done now (perhaps) while the investor’s vehicle isn’t available yet but in the future.

...



Dipl.-Volkswirt (bdvb) Augustin (Political Economist)


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Post    Posted on: Sun Jul 16, 2006 5:25 pm
Both your questions can be 'anwsered' by an approach not very much unlike the approach Elon Musk is doing with his Falcons. If you have a bigger load, just plug some more of the same rocketengine to the main engine and off you go. If you, as a rocket-company, are going to built anything, you will have to have some sort of plan to built rockets for all ranges, cargo and payload sizes. So in case you want to built a rocket only for micro sattelites, ultra cheap, make the rocket like that so you can easily scale it up or plug a few together to carry a bigger load.

Perhaps a rocket like this will be not 100% up to one single task, but in the end it should require a substantial lower investment than if you're going to built a single unique rocket for every task.


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